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Idiosyncratic Risk in China Real Estate: What Does it Mean for the Property Market and Banks?

Idiosyncratic Risk in China Real Estate: What Does it Mean for the Property Market and Banks?

Idiosyncratic Risk in China Real Estate: What Does it Mean for the Property Market and Banks?

We do not expect widespread contagion across China’s real estate or banking sectors despite the challenging outlook.

Fed Policy Amid Elevated Inflation Concerns

Fed Policy Amid Elevated Inflation Concerns

Fed Policy Amid Elevated Inflation Concerns

Elevated risks to inflation expectations appear to have prompted Federal Reserve officials to revise their policy rate hike projections higher.

A Dizzying Summer in D.C. as U.S. Debt Ceiling Looms Again

A Dizzying Summer in D.C. as U.S. Debt Ceiling Looms Again

A Dizzying Summer in D.C. as U.S. Debt Ceiling Looms Again

While Congress makes progress on infrastructure legislation, the specter of another debt-ceiling showdown gives investors cause for concern.

Why Yields Fell, and What Happens Next

Why Yields Fell, and What Happens Next

Why Yields Fell, and What Happens Next

PIMCO’s base case forecast includes a modest rise in U.S. Treasury yields, amid likely volatility and risks to the outlook.

Fed’s New Repo Facility Should Ease Future Stress, With Caveats

Fed’s New Repo Facility Should Ease Future Stress, With Caveats

Fed’s New Repo Facility Should Ease Future Stress, With Caveats

We see benefits to creating a short-term facility, even if the benefits come later.

Realigning Inflation Expectations

Realigning Inflation Expectations

Substantial Further Progress? Not Yet, Says the Fed

The U.S. Fed stopped short of providing “advance notice,” but a December tapering announcement remains likely.

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