The Author

Daniel J. Ivascyn

Group Chief Investment Officer

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Latest Insights

Blog

Fed Seems Confident in Soft Landing, But We See Risks

The Federal Reserve forecasts only a modest uptick in U.S. unemployment next year as inflation cools, but history and current labor market trends make us less certain.

Blog

ECB Prioritizes Fighting Inflation Above Avoiding Recession

The European Central Bank is likely at or very near its peak policy rate, but we don’t expect rate cuts in the near term.

Economic Outlook

Shifting Macro Trends in the Aftershock Economy

PIMCO’s Global Advisory Board discusses economic and geopolitical factors shaping the long-term global outlook.

Viewpoints

Local Government Financing Vehicles: A Growing Risk for China’s Economy?

We believe idiosyncratic credit events may occur over the next 12 months, but systemic bank risk is remote.

In Depth

PIMCO’s Capital Market Assumptions, August 2023

Blog

At Jackson Hole, Fed Reinforces Policy Stance

The Fed chair’s high-profile speech emphasized the central bank’s focus on taming inflation.

Blog

Key Takeaways From PIMCO's Sustainable Investing Report

PIMCO’s Sustainable Investing Report provides our latest thinking on sustainability. Here, we highlight the report's key takeaways on engagement, human capital, and carbon analytics.

Blog

Fed Seems Confident in Soft Landing, But We See Risks

The Federal Reserve forecasts only a modest uptick in U.S. unemployment next year as inflation cools, but history and current labor market trends make us less certain.

Blog

ECB Prioritizes Fighting Inflation Above Avoiding Recession

The European Central Bank is likely at or very near its peak policy rate, but we don’t expect rate cuts in the near term.

Blog

BOJ Moves Toward Phasing Out Yield Curve Control

The Bank of Japan announced changes that could allow its yield curve control program to expire gradually, if economic conditions are favorable.

Disclosures

London
PIMCO Europe Ltd
11 Baker Street
London W1U 3AH, England
+44 (0) 20 3640 1000

Dublin
PIMCO Europe GmbH Irish Branch,
PIMCO Global Advisors (Ireland)
Limited
3rd Floor, Harcourt Building 57B Harcourt Street
Dublin D02 F721, Ireland
+353 (0) 1592 2000

Munich
PIMCO Europe GmbH
Seidlstraße 24-24a
80335 Munich, Germany
+49 (0) 89 26209 6000

Milan
PIMCO Europe GmbH - Italy
Corso Matteotti 8
20121 Milan, Italy
+39 02 9475 5400

Zurich
PIMCO (Schweiz) GmbH
Brandschenkestrasse 41
8002 Zurich, Switzerland
Tel: + 41 44 512 49 10

Madrid
PIMCO Europe GmbH - Spain
Paseo de la Castellana, 43
28046 Madrid, Spain
Tel: +34 810 809 912

Paris
PIMCO Europe GmbH - France
50–52 Boulevard Haussmann,
75009 Paris

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The Outlook for Inflation, Near Term and Long Term

The Author

Daniel J. Ivascyn

Latest Insights

Fed Seems Confident in Soft Landing, But We See Risks

ECB Prioritizes Fighting Inflation Above Avoiding Recession

Shifting Macro Trends in the Aftershock Economy

Local Government Financing Vehicles: A Growing Risk for China’s Economy?

PIMCO’s Capital Market Assumptions, August 2023

At Jackson Hole, Fed Reinforces Policy Stance

Key Takeaways From PIMCO's Sustainable Investing Report

Related

Fed Seems Confident in Soft Landing, But We See Risks

ECB Prioritizes Fighting Inflation Above Avoiding Recession

BOJ Moves Toward Phasing Out Yield Curve Control

Disclosures

Blog: Inflation Outlook: Relatively Range-Bound

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