The Author

Daniel J. Ivascyn

Group Chief Investment Officer

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Latest Insights

Blog

What to Expect From Divided Government

A split U.S. Congress in 2023 will likely limit fiscal policy, but could be positive for equity markets.

Asset Allocation Outlook

Risk‑Off, Yield‑On

With interest rates higher amid a challenging macro environment, we see a compelling case for bond allocations and are cautious about higher-risk investments.

Blog

What’s Behind the Slowdown in U.S. Inflation

Core inflation came in below expectations for October and should moderate in 2023, but likely with bumps in the road ahead.

Blog

Peak Inflation May Hint at Peak Rates in Emerging Markets

Inflation is receding and real interest rates are climbing in EM after a year of tightening monetary policy.

Income Strategy Update: Balancing Opportunity With Resiliency

We believe fixed income markets now offer better value for active managers than they have in years.

Viewpoints

Sustainable Investing in Local Currency Emerging Market Bonds

The growing market for ESG-labelled bonds in EM local currencies may offer a way to access EM local’s attractive yield potential within a sustainability-conscious framework.

Blog

Fed Sets Up a Pause, Not a Pivot

The Federal Reserve’s November statement included dovish language, but Fed Chair Powell warned investors not to expect the Fed to stray from its full focus on fighting inflation.

Blog

Fed Sets Up a Pause, Not a Pivot

The Federal Reserve’s November statement included dovish language, but Fed Chair Powell warned investors not to expect the Fed to stray from its full focus on fighting inflation.

Quantitative Research and Analytics

Inflation Through the Lens of History

Blog

ECB Promises More Rate Hikes, But the Language Softens

The central bank noted that substantial progress has been made in withdrawing monetary policy accommodation, and expressed concerns around growth and policy transmission lags.

Disclosures

London
PIMCO Europe Ltd
11 Baker Street
London W1U 3AH, England
+44 (0) 20 3640 1000

Dublin
PIMCO Europe GmbH Irish Branch,
PIMCO Global Advisors (Ireland)
Limited
3rd Floor, Harcourt Building 57B Harcourt Street
Dublin D02 F721, Ireland
+353 (0) 1592 2000

Munich
PIMCO Europe GmbH
Seidlstraße 24-24a
80335 Munich, Germany
+49 (0) 89 26209 6000

Milan
PIMCO Europe GmbH - Italy
Corso Matteotti 8
20121 Milan, Italy
+39 02 9475 5400

Zurich
PIMCO (Schweiz) GmbH
Brandschenkestrasse 41
8002 Zurich, Switzerland
Tel: + 41 44 512 49 10

Madrid
PIMCO Europe GmbH - Spain
Paseo de la Castellana, 43
28046 Madrid, Spain
Tel: +34 810 809 912

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What Is the U.S. Yield Curve Signaling About the Economic Outlook?

The Author

Daniel J. Ivascyn

Latest Insights

What to Expect From Divided Government

Risk‑Off, Yield‑On

What’s Behind the Slowdown in U.S. Inflation

Peak Inflation May Hint at Peak Rates in Emerging Markets

Income Strategy Update: Balancing Opportunity With Resiliency

Sustainable Investing in Local Currency Emerging Market Bonds

Fed Sets Up a Pause, Not a Pivot

Related

Fed Sets Up a Pause, Not a Pivot

Inflation Through the Lens of History

ECB Promises More Rate Hikes, But the Language Softens

Disclosures

Blog: Policymakers: Pulling Out All The Stops

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